Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.028232 0.030282 0.032418 0.034813 0.037428 0.040199 0.043364
2025-07-06 0.025209 0.028177 0.031431 0.035275 0.039708 0.044678 0.050700
2025-07-13 0.022924 0.026421 0.030400 0.035291 0.041176 0.048075 0.056841
2025-07-20 0.021429 0.025321 0.029888 0.035688 0.042921 0.051728 0.063390
2025-07-27 0.019953 0.024065 0.029015 0.035476 0.043780 0.054224 0.068559
2025-08-03 0.018717 0.022979 0.028225 0.035239 0.044500 0.056491 0.073493
2025-08-10 0.017669 0.022038 0.027524 0.035020 0.045161 0.058646 0.078354
2025-08-17 0.016790 0.021247 0.026943 0.034885 0.045875 0.060858 0.083391
2025-08-24 0.015873 0.020342 0.026148 0.034387 0.046023 0.062251 0.087299
2025-08-31 0.014998 0.019443 0.025301 0.033751 0.045908 0.063219 0.090599
2025-09-07 0.014328 0.018781 0.024733 0.033456 0.046237 0.064816 0.094921
2025-09-14 0.013732 0.018188 0.024223 0.033203 0.046590 0.066441 0.099370
2025-09-21 0.013061 0.017466 0.023506 0.032617 0.046423 0.067278 0.102649
2025-09-28 0.012734 0.017211 0.023433 0.032966 0.047678 0.070374 0.109855
2025-10-05 0.012325 0.016818 0.023139 0.032963 0.048378 0.072621 0.115795
2025-10-12 0.012051 0.016605 0.023094 0.033324 0.049657 0.075865 0.123704
2025-10-19 0.011639 0.016173 0.022702 0.033127 0.050022 0.077614 0.129085
2025-10-26 0.011249 0.015755 0.022313 0.032910 0.050332 0.079272 0.134416
2025-11-02 0.010887 0.015366 0.021948 0.032708 0.050647 0.080947 0.139895
2025-11-09 0.010567 0.015026 0.021642 0.032583 0.051078 0.082837 0.145924
2025-11-16 0.010183 0.014575 0.021148 0.032126 0.050911 0.083644 0.149891
2025-11-23 0.009789 0.014096 0.020591 0.031540 0.050487 0.083955 0.152877
2025-11-30 0.009490 0.013752 0.020234 0.031268 0.050595 0.085237 0.157933